Bitcoin (BTC) Price Hit $200,000 – Scenario by Standard Chartered
2025-04-23
Is Bitcoin (BTC) hitting $200,000? That’s exactly the scenario painted by global banking giant Standard Chartered.
According to Geoffrey Kendrick, head of FX research at the bank, Bitcoin could double from its current levels of around $90,000 to reach an astonishing $200,000 by the end of 2025.
In a world where inflation fears, monetary policy shifts, and geopolitical concerns dominate headlines, Kendrick believes Bitcoin is perfectly positioned as a hedge against systemic risks.
With its decentralized nature, BTC is increasingly viewed as a digital safe haven—a modern alternative to gold. But is this projection just another bold bet in the crypto space? Check the full review!
Can Bitcoin (BTC) Price Hit $200,000?
The possibility of Bitcoin hitting a $200,000 price tag might seem ambitious, but it's not without logic. In the crypto world, volatility comes with the territory—but so does growth potential.
Kendrick’s forecast of a 100% jump in the BTC price by 2025 hinges on key macroeconomic factors. Bitcoin’s increasing adoption, institutional interest, and its growing role as a “digital gold” are all part of the equation.
What makes this target especially interesting is its timing. After the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023, many investors turned to Bitcoin as a way to protect their portfolios.
This event, and others like it, highlight why BTC is seen by some as a reliable hedge during financial turmoil. And with today’s uncertainties surrounding interest rates and the direction of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bitcoin may continue gaining ground.
Standard Chartered Analysis
Geoffrey Kendrick isn’t new to bold crypto predictions, but his case for a BTC price $200,000 by 2025 is one of his most attention-grabbing. Here’s what’s driving his forecast:
1. Bitcoin as a Hedge Against Financial System Risks
Kendrick emphasizes Bitcoin’s decentralized foundation as a key strength. Unlike traditional financial systems that depend on banks and central banks, BTC runs on a blockchain, free from centralized control.
This quality gives it resilience during economic disruptions. Investors looking to sidestep the risks tied to policy shifts or institutional instability often find Bitcoin appealing.
2. The US Treasury Term Premium Connection
A notable metric Kendrick is monitoring is the U.S. Treasury term premium, which recently hit a 12-year high. The term premium reflects the additional return investors demand for holding long-term government debt—essentially a barometer of financial risk.
Since early 2024, Bitcoin has been tracking this metric closely, suggesting its price responds to broader economic stress indicators.
Although BTC lagged behind the premium’s recent spike (partly due to tech sector concerns), Kendrick believes the gap will close as market confidence returns.
3. Federal Reserve Uncertainty
Kendrick also points to political noise around the future leadership of the Federal Reserve. With potential changes ahead—including speculation over Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s position—investors may see Bitcoin as a more stable alternative.
If doubts over the Fed’s independence grow, Kendrick expects these fears to further fuel demand for Bitcoin, pushing its price even higher.
4. BTC’s Unique Market Role
Despite its frequent comparison to technology stocks, Bitcoin behaves differently in times of macro uncertainty. While tech stocks can fall due to policy risks like tariffs, Bitcoin’s appeal often strengthens.
According to Kendrick, this distinct market behavior supports the case for a long-term rise in the BTC price.
Read more about Bitcoin (BTC):
Bitcoin Price (BTC), Market Cap, Price Today & Chart History
BTC to USD: Convert Bitcoin to US Dollar
Conclusion
Standard Chartered’s scenario for a BTC price $200,000 isn’t just a crypto fantasy—it’s a reflection of how Bitcoin is evolving in the eyes of both retail and institutional investors.
As traditional financial systems face continued challenges, and policy risks increase, Bitcoin’s decentralized, borderless, and scarce nature makes it an attractive alternative.
While such a steep rise in value carries risks, Kendrick’s forecast underscores the growing belief that Bitcoin is more than just a speculative asset—it’s becoming a core part of the global financial conversation.
Whether or not BTC hits $200,000 by 2025, the conversation it has sparked is already reshaping how we think about the future of money.
FAQ
Q1: What is Standard Chartered’s BTC price forecast for 2025?
Standard Chartered predicts that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, a potential 100% increase from its current level.
Q2: Why does Standard Chartered believe Bitcoin will rise?
Their forecast is based on Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against systemic financial risks, its correlation with the U.S. Treasury term premium, and ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve.
Q3: How does the US Treasury term premium relate to Bitcoin?
The term premium reflects investor concern about long-term risks. Bitcoin has shown a tendency to rise when this premium increases, signaling its appeal during economic uncertainty.
Q4: What could stop BTC from reaching $200,000?
Several factors could slow down BTC’s rise, including tighter crypto regulations, a global shift in investor sentiment, or stronger-than-expected economic stability.
Q5: Is Bitcoin becoming a replacement for gold?
Many see Bitcoin as “digital gold” due to its limited supply and resistance to central control. While it hasn’t fully replaced gold, it’s increasingly seen as a modern alternative.
Disclaimer: The content of this article does not constitute financial or investment advice.
