Can XRP Reach $45? Analyzing the Bull Case if History Repeats
2025-04-14
After dipping to $1.65 during a midweek correction, XRP has bounced back above the $2 mark—fueling speculation that the token may be primed for a historic rally.
Popular analyst EGRAG CRYPTO believes XRP could mimic its explosive 2017 and 2021 cycles, targeting a bold price level as high as $45 by late 2025. Could history repeat itself?
Let’s break down the key analysis and scenarios.
Key Takeaways
- XRP has reclaimed $2 after a brief correction to $1.65.
- Technical indicators show similarities to the 2017 and 2021 bull cycle setups.
- Analyst EGRAG predicts three potential price targets: $19, $27, and $45.
- The bullish timeline points to a breakout around September 29, 2025.
The Technical Setup: Why 2025 Matters
EGRAG’s thesis is based on recurring time cycles and moving average crossovers on the biweekly chart. Specifically, he tracks the 21-period EMA and 33-period MA, both of which played key roles ahead of the 2017 and 2021 bull markets.
According to his model:
- XRP’s previous rallies followed a 770-day consolidation phase.
- The last major crossover occurred in early 2022.
- If the same cycle repeats, a breakout could occur around Q3 2025.
These patterns suggest that XRP is nearing the end of a multi-year base and could be gearing up for a parabolic move.
Read more about XRP:
XRP to USD: Convert Ripple to US Dollar
XRP (XRP), Market Cap, Price Today & Chart History
Price Targets: $19, $27, or $45?
Here’s what the numbers look like if XRP mimics its previous growth:
- 2017 Rally: ~2,700% gain → would send XRP to ~$45
- 2021 Rally: ~1,050% gain → would send XRP to ~$19
- Midpoint Estimate: A more balanced target of $27
EGRAG highlights $27 as a likely median target, based on long-term Fibonacci extensions and prior resistance zones. However, the high-end prediction of $45 is not off the table if broader crypto momentum picks up and XRP breaks out of regulatory uncertainty.
Risks and Realistic Expectations
While chart cycles can reveal potential setups, they don’t guarantee outcomes. EGRAG himself cautions that:
- Market conditions in 2025 could differ drastically from 2017 and 2021.
- Regulatory hurdles, especially involving Ripple, may delay or limit upside.
- Volatility remains high, and $45 is a stretch goal under ideal circumstances.
Conclusion
XRP reclaiming $2 is a bullish signal, but the real excitement lies in what’s possibly ahead. If XRP mirrors its previous breakout cycles, we could see a run to $19, $27, or even $45 before the end of 2025. While nothing is guaranteed, the setup is one that long-term holders and new investors alike will be watching closely.
Will history repeat—or will XRP forge a new path?
Disclaimer: The content of this article does not constitute financial or investment advice.
