Will TRUMP Survive Its Token Unlock? Looking at the Current Price Movement

The Official Trump (TRUMP) token is facing a critical moment as it approaches its first major token unlock, set to take place on April 17, 2025. 

The meme coin, initially launched to capitalize on the cultural and political fervor around the former U.S. President, has struggled to maintain momentum amid market-wide skepticism.

Currently trading below $8, the token is bracing for the release of 40 million TRUMP tokens—valued at over $330 million—primarily allocated to the project team. This event could significantly impact the token’s price, liquidity, and investor sentiment.

TRUMP’s Price Drops Ahead of Unlock

As anticipation builds, TRUMP has slipped from recent highs of $8.47 to $7.99, signaling reduced confidence among investors. 

This dip comes even though only 20% of the token’s total supply is in circulation. The unlock will push that number higher, with over 39% of the total supply currently sitting in creator or team wallets.

This unlock is not just a routine event—it’s a litmus test. TRUMP is this week’s largest token unlock, and its performance may set a precedent for how other meme tokens weather similar events. 

With altcoins losing momentum and trading interest shrinking, TRUMP must lean heavily on its "Made in USA" narrative and meme appeal to stay afloat.

Read also: Official Trump (TRUMP) Coin Price Analysis for 2025

Traders Are Reluctant to Short TRUMP

Despite the clear risk of a price decline, traders remain hesitant to short TRUMP. As of April 14, the open interest in TRUMP derivatives had dropped to $200.03 million, down from $240 million over the weekend. 

The pullback shows cautious sentiment, especially as unlocked tokens—essentially free to the team—could be sold without warning.

Interestingly, only 34% of positions are shorts, suggesting a lack of conviction in betting against the asset. The long/short ratio has inched upward, indicating that most market participants are either risk-averse or uncertain about the token’s immediate direction.

Some traders even speculate that market makers may pump the token temporarily, enabling larger holders to cash out at more favorable prices before the full dilution hits.

Whales Are Already Selling TRUMP

While the broader retail crowd hopes for a post-unlock recovery or pump, TRUMP whales are not waiting. 

The largest known TRUMP trader has already realized over $29 million in profits, according to blockchain data. Sell orders continue to be placed aggressively, highlighting a trend of strategic exit behavior.

This pre-unlock selloff is especially concerning because it reflects insider-level anticipation of more downside ahead. These whales, many of whom have actively traded across meme coins like FARTCOIN, DOGE, and PEPE, are unlikely to hold through uncertainty when they can cycle profits elsewhere.

Tokenomics and the Road Ahead

TRUMP’s tokenomics paint a complex picture. The total supply will inflate from 200 million to 1 billion tokens over the next two years, with periodic unlocks adding consistent sell pressure. 

The project’s challenge is not just surviving the April 17 event but navigating a multi-year token release schedule.

The majority of the circulating supply came through public distribution rounds, where early investors paid steep premiums. Unfortunately, many now face heavy unrealized losses as TRUMP flirts with a 90% decline from its peak.

TRUMP currently trades on decentralized exchanges and Binance, but lacks strong DeFi utility. It’s not available in popular lending vaults like Kamino, and does not serve as collateral, limiting its on-chain use cases.

What Makes TRUMP Unique—And Vulnerable

Unlike many meme coins, TRUMP offers a semi-structured gamified identity, combining meme culture with political branding. 

However, its low visibility in serious DeFi spaces, coupled with high-velocity transfers between whale wallets and Binance, makes it prone to rapid speculative cycles.

Bubblemaps and on-chain analytics have shown clusters of TRUMP wallets frequently interacting in high-frequency patterns—possibly indicating coordinated liquidity or wash trading, rather than organic market activity.

This behavior may help explain the lack of major institutional or retail confidence. Without broader adoption or real-world use cases, TRUMP remains at the mercy of hype cycles, influencer narratives, and Twitter-fueled speculation.

Read also: Is Trump Setting Up New Tariff Deals? Looking at the Recent Global Economic Agreement

Conclusion

The April 17 unlock will define the next chapter for TRUMP. With $330M in tokens about to hit the market and whales already moving to cash out, the likelihood of significant downward pressure is high.

Still, there’s a chance that TRUMP surprises the market with a brief rally—especially if coordinated by insiders or if meme tokens as a whole see a resurgence.

In the long run, however, TRUMP’s survival depends on more than unlock timing. It will require building a sustainable ecosystem, weathering future unlocks, and proving it’s more than a fleeting joke on the blockchain.

FAQ

What is the TRUMP token?

TRUMP is a meme-based cryptocurrency named after former U.S. President Donald Trump. It leverages political branding and internet meme culture to attract retail interest and speculative trading. Despite its viral narrative, the token lacks traditional utility or integration in DeFi platforms.

What is a token unlock?

A token unlock refers to the release of previously locked or vested tokens into circulation. These tokens are typically allocated to team members, investors, or advisors and become tradable after a specific date. Unlocks can lead to increased selling pressure and price volatility.

When is the TRUMP token unlock happening?

The first major TRUMP token unlock is scheduled for April 17, 2025. It will release 40 million tokens, valued at approximately $330 million, into the market—primarily to team wallets.